The Earnings Desk
Most coverage stops at the press release. We read the 10-Q and 10-K: the useful-life note that decides whether earnings are real, capex against the cash flow that funds it, and any new circular-financing commitments. Same day, sourced, falsifiable — and the divergence gauge advances a quarter in public each time.
The calendar
The six names that move the build-out. Microsoft's is the marquee — its fiscal year-end 10-K carries the full PP&E useful-life disclosure, the heart of the depreciation thesis.
| Company | Next report | Filing | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| MicrosoftMSFT | ~Jul 29, 2026 · FY Q4 | 10-K · year-end note | expected |
| AlphabetGOOGL | ~Jul 28, 2026 · Q2 | 10-Q | expected |
| MetaMETA | ~Jul 29, 2026 · Q2 | 10-Q | expected |
| AmazonAMZN | ~Jul 30, 2026 · Q2 | 10-Q | expected |
| NvidiaNVDA | Aug 26, 2026 · Q2 FY27 | 10-Q | confirmed |
| OracleORCL | Sep 14, 2026 · Q1 FY27 | 10-Q | confirmed |
The four late-July dates are confirmed by the companies roughly three weeks out and updated here then. Times are after the US close.
The watch list
Before a single print lands, the read is already scoped. For each name, the specific line items we pull the moment the filing posts — and the fragility indicator each one feeds.
What the read pulls
Feeds · Depreciation integrity · Capex-vs-demand
What the read pulls
Feeds · Capex-vs-demand · Organic demand
What the read pulls
Feeds · Depreciation integrity · Capex-vs-demand
What the read pulls
Feeds · Depreciation integrity · Capex-vs-demand
What the read pulls
Feeds · Circular financing · Demand durability
What the read pulls
Feeds · Circular financing · Financing runway
The method
Each name is two events — and the second is where the signal lives.
Event 1 · the release
Capex, guidance, cloud/AI revenue and backlog from the press release and call. Feeds the capex-vs-demand read and the financing-runway math (capex as a share of operating cash flow). A same-day reaction.
Event 2 · the 10-Q / 10-K
Days later, the filing posts: the PP&E useful-life note (did the life change this quarter?), the depreciation run-rate, impairments, debt issuance, and any new lab↔hyperscaler compute commitments. This is the distinctive read.
The Fragility Index advances →The screener →The full brief →The divergence gauge →
Latest reads
Get the read the day it files
A same-day note when a hyperscaler posts its 10-Q or 10-K, plus the weekly Fragility Index reading. Sourced, no noise.